< Más Articulos : Even Trump Cant Predict Trump (Times of Israel - Jan 8 2026)
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Even Trump Cant Predict Trump (Times of Israel - Jan 8 2026)
Hundreds of news media anchors and political analysts around the world claim to know what Donald Trump will do in any given situation. The pressure on the media to be the first to predict his next move is enormous.
I am sorry to disappoint them, but on many occasions not even Trump himself knows what his next step will be.
As a shrewd negotiator, Trump positions himself as being in control of the scenario at hand. At the same time, he deliberately keeps all possible solutions open, allowing variables to align as events unfold so he can pursue what he considers the optimal outcome. Sometimes he advances through an initial set of variables and then escalates to the next phase, and then the next. At other times, he steps back one, two, or even three levels, reassesses the situation, and begins again.
In every case, his primary objective remains America First and prosperity to all countries and their populations. From there, he defines secondary goals and engages in a calculated push-and-pull strategy aimed at achieving an optimal and lasting solution. Trump does not attempt to predict Trump. Instead, he keeps all options open and decides his next move only once the variables have sufficiently aligned.
Consider a few examples.
First, the Middle East. Trump’s leadership introduced a new peace framework involving Israel and Gaza—an arena burdened by overlapping agendas and among the most complex geopolitical challenges on the planet. Today, the process appears stalled, in part because, with the exception of Iran, the region is relatively stable. Yet when Trump is involved, stagnation rarely signals abandonment. More often, it suggests that variables are being quietly recalibrated and that the next step is being prepared for release at the right moment.
A similar dynamic can be observed in the Russia–Ukraine conflict. While peace efforts currently appear frozen, Trump’s involvement has indirectly constrained the launch of new large-scale military operations and signals that the process is far from a lost cause. Rather, it reflects an ongoing effort to reshape the formula until the conditions for success emerge.
Venezuela represents another strategic arena. The United States now exerts significant influence over the country’s military and energy periphery. Trump has focused on controlling the outer parameters of the situation while waiting for internal variables to align in a way that allows for an acceptable and durable solution. His priorities are clear: safeguarding U.S. interests in the region while improving the well-being of the Venezuelan population. With this in mind, he allows the pieces to fall into place before formally advancing policy options.
Through his experience as a negotiator, Trump has come to understand that once a crisis forces the search for a solution, the variables involved are inherently dynamic. They do not behave in the same way as they did at the outset. As situations evolve, the actors involved shift their positions, and the overall landscape remains in constant transformation. For a mediocre leader, this can resemble chaos. For a first-rate negotiator, it presents a continuous stream of opportunities to reposition the pieces and secure a lasting result.
This approach does not always guarantee results, but under the right leadership the odds are strong. My suggestion to news anchors and political analysts is simple: not everything unfolds at the speed demanded by modern communications. You, too, are a variable in the equation. Approach your role with restraint, perspective, and an awareness of the responsibility you have been entrusted with.
https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/even-trump-cant-predict-trump/
( Por: Yehudi Sabbagh , 08/01/2026 )
